Uticaj indijsko-pakistanskog rivalstva na angazovanje Indije u Indo-pacifičkom regionu

[P. K. Doykov]

151str.

Political Sciences - Political Economy and Finance / Političke nauke - Politička ekonomija i finansije

This research aimed to find an answer to whether the rivalry between India and Pakistan negatively affects India’s efforts and ambitions to establish itself as a major political, economic and military power regionally and globally. The author’s understanding was that the rivalry diminished India's potential to perform actively in the Indo-Pacific region and global affairs because significant resources were being allocated to manage this rivalry. The author primarily employed a qualitative approach, analysing numerous primary and secondary sources through content analysis as a research method. Additionally, the secondary analysis involved interpretation, synthesis, comparison, and the author’s insights. Having thoroughly studied the relationship between the India – Pakistan rivalry, as a first variable, and the influence of that rivalry on India's involvement in the Indo-Pacific region, as a second variable, it was concluded that the rivalry has a significant capacity to complicate India’s efforts to pursue its ambitions to establish itself as a major political, economic, and military power regionally and globally. It was also concluded that India’s engagement in the Indo-Pacific region, the QUAD, and minilateral formats such as the SCO, the BRICS, and the EAS, enhances its global political, economic, and military role and helps reduce the scale of the rivalry’s capacity to contain that role, thus serving this country’s quest for strategic goals. This research confirms that India's rivalry with Pakistan negatively impacts its performance in the Indo-Pacific region. It also contributes to the existing literature and knowledge on the subject.

Svrha ovog istraživanja bila je da se pronađe odgovor na pitanje da li rivalstvo između Indije i Pakistana negativno utiče na napore i ambicije Indije da uzraste u veliku političku, ekonomsku i vojnu silu na regionalnom i globalnom nivou. Autorovo razumevanje je da ovo rivalstvo umanjuje potencijal Indije da aktivno deluje u Indo-pacifičkom regionu i u globalnim poslovima zbog značajnih resursa koje koristi da bi se nosila sa njim. Autor je prvenstveno primenio kvalitativni pristup proučavajući veliki broj primarnih i sekundarnih izvora i koristeći analizu sadržaja kao metod istraživanja. Tumačenje, sinteza, poređenje i uvidi autora kao sekundarna analiza su takođe primenjeni. Having thoroughly studied the relationship between the India – Pakistan and their rivalry, as a first variable, and the influence of that rivalry on India's involvement in the Indo-Pacific region, as a second variable, it was concluded that the rivalry has a significant capacity to complicate India’s efforts to pursue its ambitions to establish itself as a major political, economic, and military power regionally and globally. Kroz temeljno proučavanje odnosa između Indije i Pakistana i indijsko-pakistanskog rivalstva, kao prve varijable, i uticaja tog rivalstva na učešće Indije u Indo-pacifičkom regionu, kao druge varijable, iznet je zaključak da ovo rivalstvo ima značajan kapacitet da komplikuje napore Indije da ostvari ambiciju izrastanja u veliku političku, ekonomsku i vojna silu na regionalnom i globalnom nivou. Zaključak ovog istraživanja je i da angažman Indije u Indo-pacifičkom regionu, KVAD-u i minilateralnim formatima kao što su Šangajska organizacija za saradnju (ŠOS), BRIKS i Istočno azijski samit (IAS), jača njenu globalnu političku, ekonomsku i vojnu ulogu i pomaže u smanjenju kapaciteta posmatranog rivalstva da umanji tu ulogu Indije. U tom smislu, ovi angažmani Indije joj pomažu u ostvarenju strateških ciljeva. Ovo istraživanje potvrđuje da rivalstvo između Indije i Pakistana negativno utiče na uspešnost indijskog angažmana u Indo-pacifičkom regionu. Ono je doprinos postojećoj literaturi i akademskom znanju o ovoj temi.

India, Pakistan, Indo-Pakistan rivalry, militarisation, security dilemma, economic slowdown, major powers, Indo-Pacific region, minilateral formats, regional and global ambitions

Indija, Pakistan, Indo-pakistansko rivalstvo, militarizacija, bezbednosna dilema, ekonomsko usporavanje, velike sile, Indo-pacifički region, minilateralni formati, regionalne i globalne ambicije

327.5(540:549.1)(043.3) 327(540)(043.3)

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